Posts on X before Jan 12, 2026, 3:39:45 AM UTC
@MichaelStolarzthis is both true and false given different goals if a coder's goal is monetization, they just code up a storm regarding high performing ui analytics - what kind of homepage design converts best, pricing page, conversion tracking, funnel optimization, etc if a coder's goal is u… Less
this is both true and false given different goals
if a coder's goal is monetization, they just code up a storm regarding high performing ui analytics - what kind of homepage design converts best, pricing page, conversion tracking, funnel optimization, etc
if a coder's goal is unique/revolutionary/artistic design... yeah, they lose of course (given they have no innate artistic talent)
@flaviocopes
Designers will be able to code Coders won’t still be able to design x.com/ryannystrom/st…
@MichaelStolarzthis is only true (rn) because of their speed advantage their code output quality is trash compared to SOTA GPT 5.2 xhigh but because of the speed and ~99% of coders not needing SOTA coding anyway, that's the only reason they will "win" 2026 unless OpenAI blows them out of the… Less
this is only true (rn) because of their speed advantage
their code output quality is trash compared to SOTA GPT 5.2 xhigh but because of the speed and ~99% of coders not needing SOTA coding anyway,
that's the only reason they will "win" 2026
unless OpenAI blows them out of the water with speed improvements without quality degradation
@craigweiss
calling it now: anthropic is going to win coding
@MichaelStolarzChatGPT's Atlas is getting really, really good. Really fast.
@MichaelStolarzdo this if you want to be a year behind in terms of SOTA but feel cool and edgy while doing it
also make sure you have at least 1TB of RAM
no, your 512GB RAM macbook pro can't run either of these sub-SOTA open models in their full strength/acceptable speed
@TheAhmadOsman
i have fully dropped Claude Code for OpenCode i donʼt use Opus 4.5, i use GLM-4.7 and MiniMax-M2.1 theyʼre opensource and can be self-hosted nobody can nerf my models or rug pull me nobody should be able to do that to your intelligence p.s. buy a GPU and run your LLMs locally
@MichaelStolarzThis will only get worse btw
I have two clients who analyze prediction markets based on job listings growth
@BarefootStudent
40% of employers admitted to posting job listings with no intention of filling them, per Forbes.
@MichaelStolarzGPT 5.2 Codex is much worse than GPT 5.2. But GPT 5.2 is the #1 SOTA coding model. I'm talking about both here in the sense of using them with X-High reasoning. This is from driving Opus 4.5, GPT 5.2 Codex, and GPT 5.2, each of them at their maximum thinking level potentials. … Less
GPT 5.2 Codex is much worse than GPT 5.2.
But GPT 5.2 is the #1 SOTA coding model.
I'm talking about both here in the sense of using them with X-High reasoning.
This is from driving Opus 4.5, GPT 5.2 Codex, and GPT 5.2, each of them at their maximum thinking level potentials.
Each of them for a week straight and nothing else.
I just finished my testing yesterday and can safely say that I will be only using GPT 5.2 with X-High reasoning to do absolutely any kind of work but definitely especially programming work.
You can see exactly when I used Opus 4.5
@MichaelStolarzAnd so it begins
@jukan05
The new DeepSeek model reportedly has excellent coding performance—some say it’s even better than Claude or GPT.
@MichaelStolarzSomething changed today
You can feel it if you’re tapped in
2026 will be the greatest or worst year for those currently not at either of those ends
Only those that care will suffer, though
It’s impossible for me to put this into better words,
it’s all so clear yet so blurry
@MichaelStolarzso many times in 2025 where I would see chinese robotics and would think "damn, all we've got is figure and other slop, we're doomed" idk why I totally forgot about how boston dynamics has been in the game... what, 20 years now? i remember watching their first youtube videos wh… Less
so many times in 2025 where I would see chinese robotics and would think "damn, all we've got is figure and other slop, we're doomed"
idk why I totally forgot about how boston dynamics has been in the game... what, 20 years now?
i remember watching their first youtube videos when in elementary school lmao
of course they're so demonstrably ahead of everyone else
@TheHumanoidHub
Boston Dynamics will begin production of the new Atlas robots at its Boston headquarters immediately. All Atlas deployments are already fully committed for 2026, with fleets scheduled to ship to Hyundai and Google DeepMind in the coming months. The company plans to add additiona… Less
Boston Dynamics will begin production of the new Atlas robots at its Boston headquarters immediately. All Atlas deployments are already fully committed for 2026, with fleets scheduled to ship to Hyundai and Google DeepMind in the coming months. The company plans to add additional customers in early 2027 and also plans to build a new robotics factory by 2028 that is capable of producing 30,000 robots per year.
@MichaelStolarzthe ironic part here is that levels is still correct about the "always happy and likeable in real life" part, even when it comes to the steroid "you need 5 girlfriends" gurus it's just that they're only happy and likeable in their own personal life, definitely never showing that… Less
the ironic part here is that levels is still correct about the "always happy and likeable in real life" part, even when it comes to the steroid "you need 5 girlfriends" gurus
it's just that they're only happy and likeable in their own personal life, definitely never showing that to the millions buying their courses/advice
"THE WORLD IS TRYING TO KILL YOU, YOU NEED MY ADVICE IMMEDIATELY" sells much faster than "hey friend! beautiful day. lets get better."
@levelsio
This guy @iangcarroll makes $7M per year with his own bootstrapped business What I find interesting about people that make so much money on their own is that their physiognomy is almost always happy and likeable and friendly It's same with billionaires, most of them are actuall… Less
This guy @iangcarroll makes $7M per year with his own bootstrapped business What I find interesting about people that make so much money on their own is that their physiognomy is almost always happy and likeable and friendly It's same with billionaires, most of them are actually very likeable and friendly, and maybe that's why they got to be so rich And it's completely the opposite what the internet gurus make you think rich people look like: tough guys on steroids with broccoli hair smoking cigars driving rented lambos Just a chill guy
@MichaelStolarzimagine, when there was a bug, you had to -follow through classes/funcs/files/dirs/defs -actually read the code line by line -think about what for foo in bar for xyz in abc WORST OF ALL, imagine you think you found the cause of the bug, rewrite xyz, go through the testing, com… Less
imagine, when there was a bug, you had to
-follow through classes/funcs/files/dirs/defs
-actually read the code line by line
-think about what for foo in bar for xyz in abc
WORST OF ALL,
imagine you think you found the cause of the bug, rewrite xyz, go through the testing, compiling, run it to try it out and...
nope, that wasn't it
LOL
@adamdangelo
i can't believe we used to write all this code by hand
@MichaelStolarzwrong. for every 1 anthropic vibe, openai can afford 3. so it's more like: OpenAI: (1) Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence, (2) we're doing ChatGPT Health, (3) we're doing ChatGPT social media app Anthropic: (1) Our AI is imminentl… Less
wrong.
for every 1 anthropic vibe, openai can afford 3.
so it's more like:
OpenAI: (1) Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence, (2) we're doing ChatGPT Health, (3) we're doing ChatGPT social media app
Anthropic: (1) Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence
OpenAI: (1) Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence, (2) we're partnering with Instacart, (3) oh and put yourself next to your favorite Disney character in our videos and images!
Anthropic: (1) Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence
@peterwildeford
Very different company vibes here... OpenAI: We're doing ChatGPT Health Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence OpenAI: We're doing ChatGPT social media app Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement… Less
Very different company vibes here... OpenAI: We're doing ChatGPT Health Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence OpenAI: We're doing ChatGPT social media app Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence OpenAI: We're partnering with Instacart! Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence OpenAI: Put yourself next to your favorite Disney character in our videos and images! Anthropic: Our AI is imminently going to do recursive self-improvement to superintelligence
@MichaelStolarzI mean, let's be honest. This is the kind of shit that hasn't even been in futuristic movies. That's how you know that Boston Dynamics is gonna win. When your actual product is better than anything anyone could have ever imagined. Especially when it comes down to a product, in t… Less
I mean, let's be honest. This is the kind of shit that hasn't even been in futuristic movies. That's how you know that Boston Dynamics is gonna win.
When your actual product is better than anything anyone could have ever imagined. Especially when it comes down to a product, in this case, a robot, which has seen the life of millions of storytellers' imaginations. That's how you know it's gonna be a winner.
@simonkalouche
Figure robot just pooped its pants.
@MichaelStolarzTLDR is speed is practically solved before EOY
@amix3k
Opus 4.5 is incredibly impressive, but it's still trained and served in the previous compute paradigm. In 2026: - 1GW-class AI data centers start coming online from most frontier labs - Frontier models trained end-to-end on Blackwell/GB200 start landing On Blackwell, NVIDIA rep… Less
Opus 4.5 is incredibly impressive, but it's still trained and served in the previous compute paradigm. In 2026: - 1GW-class AI data centers start coming online from most frontier labs - Frontier models trained end-to-end on Blackwell/GB200 start landing On Blackwell, NVIDIA reports ~3.2x faster training vs Hopper and up to 30x real-time inference for trillion-parameter LLMs. Worth keeping in mind as you plan for 2026. It's going to be wild! 🤖🚀
@MichaelStolarzeven though gpt 5.2 xhigh is smarter than opus 4.5, the speed difference makes it much more useful think of it like this - which would you prefer, 1 150IQ employee, or 10 125IQ employees? you can parallel run claude codes because you can juggle the mental context quickly since… Less
even though gpt 5.2 xhigh is smarter than opus 4.5, the speed difference makes it much more useful
think of it like this -
which would you prefer, 1 150IQ employee, or 10 125IQ employees?
you can parallel run claude codes because you can juggle the mental context quickly since by the time you get to nth claude, the first ones have completed
with codex, yeah sure you can run many in parallel, but their completion timings are so volatile AND long, so it's a double whammy when it comes to trying to "stay in the zone"
though as usual, the moment opus 4.5 speed is achieved on the gpt 5.2 (xhigh!) models, i'll be back on codex
@MichaelStolarz…unless you have a polymarket bot running using claude opus 4.5 24/7
@robinebers
don't believe anyone claiming the claude max 5x plan is enough this is like the third time i'm hitting my session limits not the end of the world but definitely doable, frequently 20x will still feel unlimited to even the heaviest users though
@MichaelStolarzthis should put a smile on your face and remind you that it's not that you and I here are early - it's that things haven't even started yet for 99% of everyone else if you don't feel like your knowledge advantage is comparable to insider trading, then you either don't know enoug… Less
this should put a smile on your face and remind you that it's not that you and I here are early - it's that things haven't even started yet for 99% of everyone else
if you don't feel like your knowledge advantage is comparable to insider trading, then you either don't know enough or are not confident enough
@Sauers_
I made a Reddit account and posted Greg Brockman saying Rust is "a perfect language for agents." This is on r/Rust. Do..... do they not know that AI can code now? I'm confused
@MichaelStolarzif you can't smell the stench of Opus 4.5 that reeks off of this reddit post,
your mental defenses are not up to par
@adxtyahq
an Amazon SEV1 incident being handled like this feels unreal
@MichaelStolarzweirdly interesting to think that a select few people who grew up playing modern warfare 2 / halo when they were 10 years old...
...are now doing everything they played in those games, and more, in real life https://t.co/Ox9krCh31f
@visionergeo
‼️‼️🇺🇸🇻🇪 BIG NEWS - The CIA quietly deployed officers to Venezuela beginning in August to monitor the movements and daily routines of President Nicolás Maduro, supporting broader U.S. intelligence operations, according to NYT. See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
@MichaelStolarz2025 was the year of wanting the most intelligent model
2026 feels like the year for speed now that all the frontier models' intelligence can do 99% of what people want
@MichaelStolarzpeople are misunderstanding what "no juniors" means
no HUMAN juniors. but juniors in general? more than ever. and they continuously learn as a hive mind
no HUMAN seniors tomorrow, but tomorrow's seniors in general?
more than ever, forever growing.
@amritwt
if there are no juniors today then there will be no seniors tomorrow x.com/cloneofsimo/st…
@MichaelStolarzthe only ai coding tools you should be using are either codex or claude code
anything else and you're ngmi
"bUt wHaT aboUt oPencoDe cuRsOr zEd megaMind 9000?"
look into your eyes in the mirror and ask yourself that question
codex/claude code are like black coffee at starbucks
@MichaelStolarzOpus, gen with nano banana pro please
>"That's not a real model — sounds like you're testing me or having a bit of fun."
It's real, Opus. Web search and see for yourself
>"Interesting — let me verify this is actually real..."
>"It... actually worked?"
Read the chat, it's great
@MichaelStolarzthings are already way ahead EOY 2025 than I thought they'd be at the start of the year.
given exponentials and all that, seems like this year will even further outpace my already-insane (to the layman) expectations
will revisit this EOY 2026
@GregKamradt
If you’re paying attention, it’s overwhelming
@MichaelStolarzim wondering if we can piggyback off the mental zombification and steer towards actually learning something, and i mean absolutely anything at all, instead of just full pure 100% filler slop
maybe tung tung sahur can show different types of wood?
AI cat ones teach about Ikigai?
@yacineMTB
What's really surprising about how horrible the short form video that is actually zombifiying all of our families is that there is a small group of maybe 100 people max that are responsible for it, and if they all stopped, a great deal of child and elderly suffering would stop
@MichaelStolarzwe need to generate more web software that generates react websites which sell how-to-generate python courses which teach you how to generate web software that can generate python websites so that you can generate react SaaS websites so you can charge $9/mo to help people gene...
@ludwigABAP
More slop, faster. Accelerate slop. Build more things that don’t matter. Ship slop faster. As a matter of fact, don’t even write the slop. Let it be generated. Generate everything. More web. More react. More python. More web software. x.com/github/status/…
@MichaelStolarzi used to make a lot of separate single use apps for my workflows
now i just make a skill
i am no longer an anthropic basher regarding their agent supplementations
@MichaelStolarzhonestly i couldn't have imagined us being where we are in regards to open models at the end of 2025 with the power level that is @minimax_ai 's M2.1
which means that I will be exponentially more shocked next year, this time.
lets see if that proves true. retweeting in 1 year.
@MichaelStolarzevery day I refresh Groq's model page to see if they added a new model. MiniMax M2? M2.1 now? GLM 4.6? Now 4.7 just released?
nope. still only offering kimi k2.
@MichaelStolarzthis is true because since Q4 2025, with Opus 4.5 / GPT 5.2, a complete normie with 0 coding experience can easily fine tune a model or even make one from scratch
now imagine if a normie can do that,
imagine what the top minds of the world that created these models can do now
@bayeslord
“timelines” don’t matter anymore. we’re in it. the machine is off to the races.
@MichaelStolarzHow quickly have we gone from complaining about a model's intelligence to "yeah it's AGI but it's way too slow"
Intelligence is ~solved soonish; what's next after speed? What happens when there's GPT 6 with Groq/Cerebras speeds?
Intelligence -> speed -> ...financial gain?
@MichaelStolarzI went back to using GPT 5.2 X-High instead of the new GPT 5.2 Codex X-High
The Codex version feels much dumber, at least for the work that I am doing. GPT 5.2 -just gets it-, while the Codex variant needs to be handheld althroughout.
@MichaelStolarzThe only thing stopping me now from completely dropping Claude Opus 4.5 and going 100% GPT 5.2 Codex X-High is speed
I've always been one of the "I don't care about speed as long as it's the smartest SOTA model"...
but after fondling Opus 4.5 for a few days... I miss the speed.
@MichaelStolarzHow did this work out last time, ~250 years ago?
@HBrandstaetter
We Europeans have our laws. You will have to learn to acccept them x.com/undersecpd/sta…
@MichaelStolarzplan mode finally in codex btw
@MichaelStolarzUnlike trying to do creative writing with LLMs, coding is something that, for the most part, has a particular answer, if not an exact answer.
Programming will be "solved" much sooner than creative writing getting to the point where you will preferably read AI-generated fiction.
@SamuelAlbanie
update to That Graph
@MichaelStolarzVibe code with opus 4.5 ultrathink
Fix its tech debt with GPT 5.2 Codex xhigh
Double check any missed tech debt with GPT 5.2 xhigh
@MichaelStolarzI regret having tasted the speed and niche configurability of Claude Code + Opus 4.5.
I know GPT 5.2 / GPT 5.2 Codex are smarter (xhigh versions), but damn it are they slow.
By the time they are done, even though their output is perfect, I forget the direction of development.
@MichaelStolarzwhen codex cli <-> atlas interoperability pls @ah20im @thsottiaux
@claudeai
Using the extension, Claude Code can test code directly in the browser to validate its work. Claude can also see client-side errors via console logs. Try it out by running /chrome in the latest version of Claude Code.
@MichaelStolarzimagine mogging Dia Browser with:
- a 14 second clip
- of a vibecoded chrome plugin
- it does your entire product's vision
- executes it all flawlessly in a tab
@mattstallone
I shipped a feature to @posthog this week, except I don’t work at posthog and posthog didn’t approve it
@MichaelStolarzone of my biggest issues with codex has been solved ever since gpt-5.2 xhigh.
before: first prompts produced the highest quality results, but continuations felt rushed, guessed, non-important
now: every prompt feels like the first prompt experience. i rarely /new anymore.
@MichaelStolarznvim and codex is all you need to be cool these days
even cooler if you use codex headless
feels like the same cool as using nvim in the 2010s and having a super riced out config and obscure plugins no one knows about but are secretly productivity gems
cool != money though
@alxfazio
preferring nvim over vscode > cool preferring cc over cursor > not cool explain this. you can't
@MichaelStolarzhow has no one created a degradation benchmark yet?
check how it performs at different times throughout 24 hours? on weekends? "lazy/holiday EU months"?
I know there was a paper released roughly about this in 2023 but we're due for a way more tried and tested version now
@VictorTaelin
No there's no way this is the Opus 4.5 I used a few days ago. This thing is brain dead. It is completely moronic. I can't accept this is the same model.
@MichaelStolarzand now, tomorrow they're releasing Opus 5.1
it's just going to be called Codex Max 5.2 X-High
and yeah, still slower, but again - you're trading off speed for dozens of IQ points.
@MichaelStolarz
you can use claude opus 5 RIGHT NOW. no, not opus 4.5. opus 5. the only downside is that it's much slower. so if you're fine with trading speed for intelligence, go ahead and use opus 5. they named it weird this time though, "gpt 5.2 xhigh", and only available on codex cli
@MichaelStolarzcrazy how I can bet on literally anything on gamba sites ("will jimmy steal sarah's lunch from the breakroom again this saturday?")
but i can't somehow bet/invest on xAI/SpaceX lmao
@elonmusk isn't X the everything app? can one of those everythings be investing in non-public?
@MichaelStolarzyou can use claude opus 5 RIGHT NOW.
no, not opus 4.5.
opus 5.
the only downside is that it's much slower. so if you're fine with trading speed for intelligence, go ahead and use opus 5.
they named it weird this time though, "gpt 5.2 xhigh", and only available on codex cli
@MichaelStolarzthe slow boil death of the US is being brought on by people like bernie and warren >warren "anti-monopoly" crusade against irobot being bought by an american company (amazon) >irobot now not only gone bankrupt but was bought up by china and gutted for data this smells the same.… Less
the slow boil death of the US is being brought on by people like bernie and warren
>warren "anti-monopoly" crusade against irobot being bought by an american company (amazon)
>irobot now not only gone bankrupt but was bought up by china and gutted for data
this smells the same. https://t.co/zKr3ekW9iU
@SenSanders
I will be pushing for a moratorium on the construction of data centers that are powering the unregulated sprint to develop & deploy AI. The moratorium will give democracy a chance to catch up, and ensure that the benefits of technology work for all of us, not just the 1%.
@MichaelStolarzcrazy that we can "invest" in prediction markets like "is jerry going to microwave fish in the break room again on thursday dec 18 2025" yet we can't invest into obvious long horizon wins like the boring company or space x without doing mental gymnastics "indirect investing" … Less
crazy that we can "invest" in prediction markets like "is jerry going to microwave fish in the break room again on thursday dec 18 2025"
yet we can't invest into obvious long horizon wins like the boring company or space x without doing mental gymnastics "indirect investing" https://t.co/rzNKHaKyIc
@elonmusk
The Boring Company is so underrated lol x.com/boringcompany/…
@MichaelStolarzall of those ragebait ad games where you have to outline the shape without going over the same path twice are finally going to be useful for designers using this
@lukas_m_ziegler
Supportless, free-form 3D printing! ⛓️ By using low-melting-point Fields' metal and shaping it through surface tension, this process can create highly conductive 3D structures in a single pass, no supports, no post-processing. Pretty interesting way of thinking about additive … Less
Supportless, free-form 3D printing! ⛓️ By using low-melting-point Fields' metal and shaping it through surface tension, this process can create highly conductive 3D structures in a single pass, no supports, no post-processing. Pretty interesting way of thinking about additive manufacturing, especially for electronics and functional metal parts. Just wow. I only know this is from Singapore, anyone has more information about them? ~~ ♻️ Join the weekly robotics newsletter, and never miss any news → ziegler.substack.com
@MichaelStolarzopenai's new image gen is a quality upgrade over itself, but definitely not better than google's banana pro image gen.
the yellow tint is gone, but notice the amount of fingers my left hand has, it makes my eyes funky.
banana pro result and prompt used for both in comments
