Posts on X before Nov 27, 2024, 9:29:54 AM UTC
@MichaelStolarzTLDR: pretty much every frontier AI lab has perfected AI text generation slop and so now we can finally focus on what really matters
@_jasonwei
Prediction: within the next year there will be a pretty sharp transition of focus in AI from general user adoption to the ability to accelerate science and engineering. For the past two years it has been about user base and general adoption across the public. This is very natura… Less
Prediction: within the next year there will be a pretty sharp transition of focus in AI from general user adoption to the ability to accelerate science and engineering. For the past two years it has been about user base and general adoption across the public. This is very natural because user growth is a critical part any business model. But at this point I would say that there is widespread accessibility of LLMs: for most queries from the average person on earth, many LLMs can answer pretty well. In the upcoming five years I think the focal point will be the ability for AI to accelerate engineering and scientific research, which is the engine of progress in technology. At the frontier of innovation in any field, by definition there will be many open questions and a lot of headroom for better AI to make a difference. The stakes will be very high because progress compounds and also because AI accelerating AI research itself is a strong positive feedback loop. The other way of saying this is that there is somewhat limited headroom for improving the average user query, but massive headroom for improving the experience for the 1% of queries that would accelerate technological advancement, as well as on queries that people would want to ask the model but currently don’t because models are not smart enough to answer. AI research tends to improve where there is great headroom, and in scientific innovation there be substantial upside.
@MichaelStolarzThey're not wrong.
It's just not the "open" that we're all used to.
Open here means "open to vulnerabilities," not open source. Definitely not open source.
@tomwarren
quite the claim from Microsoft here 🤔
@MichaelStolarzIf you’re ever feeling down and want a stark reminder as to how far ahead you are of everyone else when it comes to AI-anything, just take a look at the replies in this thread
@_lizharvey
Maybe im stupid (im not) but there is literally not a single thing id need chatgpt for??????????? like does it do the dishes? x.com/ilikefufu_/sta…
@MichaelStolarzIt's so funny to see the annual cycle of people finding out about some new Twitter/X replacement... ...followed by them flocking over there, convincing their friends and family to use it... ...they come back to Twitter and post about it, saying "Oh my gosh, the discourse there … Less
It's so funny to see the annual cycle of people finding out about some new Twitter/X replacement...
...followed by them flocking over there, convincing their friends and family to use it...
...they come back to Twitter and post about it, saying "Oh my gosh, the discourse there is so amazing!"...
...and then this lasts about two-three weeks, after which they silently come back to being full-time on Twitter once again.
It takes them a while to realize how much they take for granted, and pair that with the fact that the honeymoon phase of using a new app / getting so many likes / comments / engagement with the thought of "wow, I just started, too, and I'm getting so much engagement already!"...
All of it fades away and yeah, X will always take you back in. Welcome back.
@MichaelStolarzIt never ceases to amaze me how people seem to avoid the reality of impending changes, whatever they may be. It seems like, even against all odds, they still hold on to the belief that everything will remain the same. In pretty much every field I can think of, whether it's po… Less
It never ceases to amaze me how people seem to avoid the reality of impending changes, whatever they may be.
It seems like, even against all odds, they still hold on to the belief that everything will remain the same.
In pretty much every field I can think of, whether it's politics, societal structure, software, biology - I change my mind frequently given new information. That's the whole point of progress, right?
I consistently check to see if I have any static beliefs, and I make sure that I always have worthy reasons to believe what I believe. If not, I go down a rabbit hole of research, playing both the defense and prosecutor positions before I finalize my decision.
I've trained myself to enjoy changing my mind on something that feels almost hard-coded into me - it honestly feels like a software update that fixed some bug in my code, to put it crudely.
Most people, from what I can tell, are the opposite - they'll take their opinions and decisions, even if they know they're wrong, to the grave.
They rather go never saying "you were right" - or worse, "I was wrong".
@MichaelStolarzBig as always from DeepSeek.
@deepseek_ai
🚀 DeepSeek-R1-Lite-Preview is now live: unleashing supercharged reasoning power! 🔍 o1-preview-level performance on AIME & MATH benchmarks. 💡 Transparent thought process in real-time. 🛠️ Open-source models & API coming soon! 🌐 Try it now at chat.deepseek.com #DeepSeek
@MichaelStolarzAnthropic's Haiku 3.5 would be justified with a 4x price increase if it supported images. At the very least, they should have kept the price the same as it was, stating that they're working on image capabilities and then increase the price once that goes into effect. All they'v… Less
Anthropic's Haiku 3.5 would be justified with a 4x price increase if it supported images.
At the very least, they should have kept the price the same as it was, stating that they're working on image capabilities and then increase the price once that goes into effect.
All they've really done is shoot themselves in the foot by neither releasing image capabilities nor keeping the price the same, which has led to negative publicity and, for lack of a better term, a failed launch for their "mass use" model.
@MichaelStolarzWhile OpenAI's ChatGPT search has been great for quick questions and straight-to-the-point answers, it fails miserably on any type of follow-up you may have. Unless your follow-up is a question about either something else entirely or for something that truly wouldn't make sense … Less
While OpenAI's ChatGPT search has been great for quick questions and straight-to-the-point answers, it fails miserably on any type of follow-up you may have.
Unless your follow-up is a question about either something else entirely or for something that truly wouldn't make sense for ChatGPT to repeat itself, it will always do exactly that—repeat itself.
You can see in the screenshot here, all it really does is change a few words, and then it regurgitates the exact same thing, even though I specifically mentioned that it's missing something.
I'd have thought that by now they would have fixed this, as ChatGPT has been around for, what, weeks? Has it been a month yet?
Nevertheless, it should have been squashed and hot-fixed because surely this is annoying to more than just myself.
@MichaelStolarzI think one of the most influential things that Elon's new DOGE project can do is introduce an evolution to the way that Americans pay their taxes every single year. I want to know how much I owe and pay it like a bill. I don't want to use paid services. I don't want to guess… Less
I think one of the most influential things that Elon's new DOGE project can do is introduce an evolution to the way that Americans pay their taxes every single year.
I want to know how much I owe and pay it like a bill.
I don't want to use paid services. I don't want to guess. I don't want to worry about penalties down the road because something slips my mind.
Who honestly believes that the IRS doesn't know how much you owe?
I just want to have a hub where I can dump all of my receipts, expenses, and income streams, whether they come from client work or a 9-to-5 job or the gig economy or crypto investments or... you get the idea.
It would remove literal months of stress, as well as planning and execution time, from everyone's life every single year.
I mean, come on, we literally name it "tax season" because it takes a season to go through it and get it all done.
It's insane to me, and remember, this is all being said without mentioning AI because we all know that it's going to be decades before everyday government services make any practical use of these emerging technologies.
@elonmusk @DOGE
@MichaelStolarzthe funniest / most fun timeline would be if this tweet were true and not made in jest. imagine, riemann's hypothesis confirmed being solved through a tweet-er, post.
@hyhieu226
Grok-3 just proved Riemann's hypothesis. We decided to pause its training to check its proof, and if the proof is correct, training won't be resumed, as the AI is deemed so smart that it becomes a danger to humanity.
@MichaelStolarzI've completely removed using GPT-4o from any of my workflows. I found that GPT-4o-mini works just as well. Rarely do I find room for improvement from whatever processing results I'm looking for. For anything I need to designate more brainpower to, I use O1-mini first, and … Less
I've completely removed using GPT-4o from any of my workflows.
I found that GPT-4o-mini works just as well.
Rarely do I find room for improvement from whatever processing results I'm looking for.
For anything I need to designate more brainpower to, I use O1-mini first, and in rare cases, I'll run it just to double-check through O1-preview.
Absolutely everything else I use Claude Sonnet 3.5.
@MichaelStolarz2025 is really shaping up to be the year of mainstream robotics.
2024 has been one very long teaser of what's to come.
In 2025, we're probably going to see useful general-purpose robotics for under $5,000.
@MichaelStolarzIt's such a no-brainer that anytime I set up search for anything, I focus on making sure all setting names, as well as short descriptions (if available), are able to be fuzzy found.
Another fallback for me is usually ripgrep.
Search results should almost never be empty.
@d4m1n
I feel like no matter how much AI we'll have we won't ever solve Search, Printers and LAN setup
@MichaelStolarzIt's so interesting to see everyone talking about scaling thanks to Ilya's quote, but they don't seem to understand that there's different types of scaling. It just goes to show that a lot of people seem to rewrite high performing tweets in order to just boost for engagement rat… Less
It's so interesting to see everyone talking about scaling thanks to Ilya's quote, but they don't seem to understand that there's different types of scaling.
It just goes to show that a lot of people seem to rewrite high performing tweets in order to just boost for engagement rather than have something of substance.
@MichaelStolarzIt's so insane to me that so many people are reading Ilya's quote and the only thing that they're registering are the first and last parts. They completely remove the middle. All they see is "results from scaling up... have plateaued." Weird how no one is mentioning this is spe… Less
It's so insane to me that so many people are reading Ilya's quote and the only thing that they're registering are the first and last parts. They completely remove the middle.
All they see is "results from scaling up... have plateaued."
Weird how no one is mentioning this is specifically only regarding pre-training. And more importantly, it only mentions ONE of the phases of training an AI model that uses a vast amount of UNLABELED data.
@ylecun
I don't wanna say "I told you so", but I told you so. Quote: "Ilya Sutskever, co-founder of AI labs Safe Superintelligence (SSI) and OpenAI, told Reuters recently that results from scaling up pre-training - the phase of training an AI model that uses a vast amount of unlabeled d… Less
I don't wanna say "I told you so", but I told you so. Quote: "Ilya Sutskever, co-founder of AI labs Safe Superintelligence (SSI) and OpenAI, told Reuters recently that results from scaling up pre-training - the phase of training an AI model that uses a vast amount of unlabeled data to understand language patterns and structures - have plateaued." ... threads.net/@yannlecun/pos…
@MichaelStolarzWhere's the American equivalent of these? I don't think even Boston Dynamics has this kind of maneuverability. It seems so flawless. It edges on... Making me feel as if... These machines are alive, the way they self-correct. Balance. Plan and prepare their next movements. A… Less
Where's the American equivalent of these? I don't think even Boston Dynamics has this kind of maneuverability. It seems so flawless. It edges on... Making me feel as if... These machines are alive, the way they self-correct. Balance. Plan and prepare their next movements.
Again, I don't see this in any... mainstream American robotics company right now. Maybe we have all of this behind the scenes, but... it's just very weird to see this coming from random Chinese startups. If we have these behind the scenes, what does China have behind the scenes?
@burkov
You are not gonna hide from an army of these pic.x.com/dtFsvmr31i
@MichaelStolarzprobably a SOTA coder if none of the current SOTA labs release something new
then again, it’s about that time for OpenAI’s early Christmas present… 5o?
low hopes for anthropic since watching dario’s interview, especially knowing that we won’t be seeing opus 3.5 anytime soon
@JustinLin610
What will come next huh? x.com/Alibaba_Qwen/s…
@MichaelStolarzif a government doesn't prioritize intelligence and its own hardware, it'll end up beholden to others. it's already happening, and the difference between prosperity and reliance will only increase (probably exponentially if we're looking at intelligence growth as the main factor)
@ns123abc
🚨🚨🚨Japan going full BASED: - $65B pumped into chips and AI -Rapidus is aiming at 2nm chips, gunning for 2nm tech to rival TSMC
@MichaelStolarzi think we'll start seeing AAA studios buying out indie games just like monopolies buy out startups.
Unfortunately for them though, I think they'll "polish up" the game after takeover, ironically making it worse after going through the AAA studio "upgrade / expand" filters.
@notch
Unless you count Bethesda as AAA, I don't remember the last time I played a AAA game. And shattered space made we want to quit bethesda too. Thankfully, the video game industry is doing just fine. Just play indie games.
@MichaelStolarzi downloaded zen browser, used it for 3 minutes, and closed out of it. arc is still king for my use cases. maybe they will open source it? or their new v2 paid version of it will come out soon? idc if i have to pay $10 or whatever. it's a daily driver, why wouldn't I?
@MichaelStolarzit's insane to me that o1-preview is 5x more expensive for input tokens and 4x more for output tokens compared to claude 3.6 sonnet...
even though sonnet 3.6 is better (at least for coding/creativity).
@MichaelStolarznow anthropic please, then i can remove 80% of custom API code in systemsculpt and just use openai endpoint schema for everything https://t.co/UgGHSe4azM
@OfficialLoganK
Gemini is now accessible via the OpenAI libraries! Update 3 lines of code and get started with the latest Gemini models : ) developers.googleblog.com/en/gemini-is-n…
@MichaelStolarzseriously considering removing all of my AI service provider options from SystemSculpt (currently: OpenAI, Groq, Anthropic, Grok, OpenRouter, Local)... and just making it super simple: OpenRouter and Local. it's becoming more mainstream, has all of the latest models from all of… Less
seriously considering removing all of my AI service provider options from SystemSculpt (currently: OpenAI, Groq, Anthropic, Grok, OpenRouter, Local)...
and just making it super simple: OpenRouter and Local.
it's becoming more mainstream, has all of the latest models from all of the top providers, a bunch of free models, little to no rate limits vs. native model use...
@MichaelStolarzhopefully they fix this repetitiveness that often (very often) occurs specifically with SearchGPT. hey @OpenAI @sama I love it otherwise; it's my daily search driver since day 1 and I'm not looking back, only forward to even better improvements/evolution.
@MichaelStolarzi used to drink nearly 2g of caffeine a day - no, not mg, not 2g of coffee, 2g of actual, pure caffeine - mostly in the form of white monster energy drinks (140mg caffeine each) and 30-40 grams of nescafe gold instant coffee (~40mg of caffeine in each gram)
@MichaelStolarzusing o1-preview, there's a "new version of chatgpt", giving me two reasoning replies. i think full o1 is coming super soon, maybe next week (or maybe today, thursday?)
@MichaelStolarzafter trying out @aide_dev by @skcd42 for a 1-file codebase for simple edits, trying out many different strategies of communication to see if my prompting may be the bottleneck, i can confidently say that it's nowhere near cursor-level quality nor efficacy. i do have high hopes … Less
after trying out @aide_dev by @skcd42 for a 1-file codebase for simple edits, trying out many different strategies of communication to see if my prompting may be the bottleneck, i can confidently say that it's nowhere near cursor-level quality nor efficacy.
i do have high hopes for it, or rather, its plan -> execute strategy shown in the sidebar.
i will revisit it in 1 month.
@MichaelStolarzi wonder what's going on on threads LMAO
@MichaelStolarzwhat a beautiful start to the day.
@RealRossU
Last night, Donald Trump pledged to commute my sentence on day 1, if reelected. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. After 11 years in prison, it is hard to express how I feel at this moment. It is thanks to your undying support that I may get a second chance.
@MichaelStolarzthe worst part of the for you page is that i keep seeing the same shit over and over for the entire day, it feels like it's begging me to like or comment or bookmark it, but no - i will not give in to your ragebait politics slop posts.
@MichaelStolarzif i had $10/m for every time a bot with these same stats followed me (always following over 7K, always under 100 followers), i'd be at $100K MRR
@MichaelStolarzI wonder if o1-mini also falls under these updates, or at least o1 comes with reduced prices.
it would be such a 1-up on anthropic with their recent price INCREASE news, imagine if openai DECREASED their SOTA?
@ai_for_success
The full version of OpenAI o1 is not far away. o1 will be a huge, It will also include Vision, as we saw a few days ago when it was accidentally rolled out. A few more features were announced for o1 during London Dev Day, and I'm also excited about streaming. … Less
The full version of OpenAI o1 is not far away. o1 will be a huge, It will also include Vision, as we saw a few days ago when it was accidentally rolled out. A few more features were announced for o1 during London Dev Day, and I'm also excited about streaming. x.com/legit_rumors/s…
@MichaelStolarzat this point, crumbl's main selling point is dirty bulking
@tessrestricts
720 calories is crazy work💀
@MichaelStolarzregardless of what country you are from/residing in, you should love your country. if you don't, which country do you love? why aren't you doing everything in your power to relocate to that country?
if you don't love any country, where's your home? your community? family?
@MichaelStolarzanthropic should have just eaten the extra cost instead of 4xing the price. all anyone is talking about is the price increase.
no one is talking about how it’s better than opus 3.
what a missed opportunity for them. shame.
@MichaelStolarzthe worst part of all these llm competitors is that everyone likes to do things with their api a little differently. just bow down to openai's standard which has been around for years, stop trying to make your own anthropic, im looking at you. xAI is openai endpoint compatible. … Less
the worst part of all these llm competitors is that everyone likes to do things with their api a little differently. just bow down to openai's standard which has been around for years, stop trying to make your own
anthropic, im looking at you. xAI is openai endpoint compatible. WHY AREN'T YOU OMG what a pain.
@MichaelStolarzis there seriously no litellm equivalent in npm?
@MichaelStolarzit's so funny seeing people write "i'm gonna delete this app, x sucks, elon ruined it" - where are you gonna go? THREADS? instagram? facebook? LMAO
@MichaelStolarzno matter who wins, twitter is gonna be so funny later this week, im so excited
@MichaelStolarznew look, who dis
(new systemsculpt website live)
@MichaelStolarzI mean come on. I feel that not enough people are talking about how amazing ChatGPT Search is.
@MichaelStolarzlatest random news, chatgpt search vs. perplexity. which do you prefer? i prefer chatgpt search.
@MichaelStolarzbro wake up new harambe just dropped 🐿️
@MichaelStolarz1,000,000% @finkd is part of tpot, shitposting as a lowkey anon, making sure he keeps up with the vibes as best he can. you think this amazing ai discourse is happening on threads? FACEBOOK? he'd be stupid not to secretly be part of x's ai community (he's not stupid)
@MichaelStolarzafter trying out the new version of github copilot, even with o1-preview as the main driver, i can confidently say... it's shit compared to cursor. long live cursor.
@MichaelStolarzi swear, once im at a stable 10k mrr, im making an on-the-fly x feed filter that removes ragebait/engagement bait/politics from my feed. i know musk won't do it, it'd be stupid of him to do so; that's where most money comes from rn it seems
@MichaelStolarzbeing concise accelerates goal achievement; being precise enhances output quality. with LLMs this is more true than ever before
@MichaelStolarzit really does seem like the full version of o1 has released (by "mistake", imo). so this week, i think, is going to be super interesting.
@MichaelStolarzwhite is o1 (full?), black is o1-preview unlike o1-preview which gets this wrong, this assumed o1 (full?) gets it correct. it ALMOST falls into the same gender-identity overthinking trap, but it gets it right in the end (you can see it battling with itself in the thinking proces… Less
white is o1 (full?), black is o1-preview
unlike o1-preview which gets this wrong, this assumed o1 (full?) gets it correct. it ALMOST falls into the same gender-identity overthinking trap, but it gets it right in the end (you can see it battling with itself in the thinking process, lmao)
though, it is important to note: o1 tells me "lol this is an old puzzle", so it might just be pulling the final answer's certainty from training data.
@legit_api
o1 first contact 👽 brought to you by me + @Jaicraft39
@MichaelStolarzthe next era is all about hardware. software is practically solved imo
@immasiddx
Who should be the next CEO of Apple after Tim Cook? 👀
